"Time is on my side...yes it is" - Rolling Stones. Mortgage prices were jostled and bounced around throughout a wild week of economic news and Fed moves. But in the end, time was on the side of those who were patient, as pricing finished the week right about where it began, leaving fixed home loan rates unchanged.
Last week's highlights included a quarter point Fed rate cut, which brings the Fed Funds Rate down to 4.5%. The Prime Rate now stands at 7.5%, which is good news for home equity lines, consumer and business loans. Additionally, those who have adjustable type loans should see some benefit. But because a Fed cut can stimulate the economy and bring some inflation, fixed home loans tend to worsen a bit after the Fed cuts rates.
The latest read on Inflation was right in-line with the Fed's target. A 1.8% annual Core Inflation rate was reported, which is within the 1%-2% Fed comfort zone - good news for bonds.
Help wanted! Well at least it was for 166,000 Americans during October. This was the best report since May and twice the forecasted amount. The Report showed the rate of unemployment at a very respectable 4.7%. This type of strong report often leads to trouble for bonds, but a look deeper into the numbers showed the Hourly Earnings figure to be less inflationary than expected. The markets are concerned about wage based inflation, but Average Hourly Earnings increased by just 3 cents to $17.58 per hour.
For this week forecast click here!